C´ybnse P\kwJy 2050  175.52 tImSn BIpw. henb {]m[m\yt¯msS aebmf ]{X§Ä dnt¸mÀ«v sNbvXncp¶p. P\kwJym hnkvt^mS\w F¶pw ]dªp hmZn¡p¶hÀ¡v Hcp \à hncp¶mbn Cu hmÀ¯. s{]msse^v Nn´mKXnIÄ¡v {]m[m\yw \ÂIp¶hcp t]mepw Cu hmÀ¯ IWvSv CsXmcp {]iv\w Xs¶bmWv F¶p Nn´n¨pt]mbn. F¶m Cu hmÀ¯bpsS ]n¶m¼pdw ]cntim[n¡mw
P\kwJy F¶Xà \½Ä {][m\ambn {i²nt¡WvSXv. P\km{µXbmWv \mw {i²nt¡WvSXv. Hcp IntemaoäÀ Npäfhn F{X hyànIÄ hkn¡p¶p F¶XmWv. C´ybn 2001 se sk³kkv {]Imcw 'Census of India' IW¡p {]Imcw 324 BfpIfmWv 1 IntemaoäÀ {]tZi¯v Xmakn¡p¶Xv. {]tZiw Xncn¨pt\m¡nbm hS¡³ kwØm\§fn 223 Dw sk³{S {]tZi¯v 347 Dw Ing¡³ kwØm\§fn 525 Dw hS¡v Ing¡³ kwØm\§fn 151 Dw ]Snªmdn kwØm\§fn 293 Dw sX¡³ kwØm\§fn 351 Dw BWv P\km{µX.
32,87,263 NXpc{iIntemaoäÀ hnkvXoÀ®aqÅ C´ybn 110 tImSnP\§Ä Ct¸mgpapWvSv. AXv 2050 BIpt¼mÄ 175.52 tImSn BIpw F¶v Atacn¡ BØm\amb t]m¸ptej³ d^d³kv _yqtdm (]n.BÀ._n) {Kq¸v {]kvXmhn¡p¶p. Atacn¡ bp.F³. s\ D]tbmKn¨v hnIeamb Nne ]T\§Ä temIw apgph\pw F¯n¡m³ {ian¡p¶p. P\w s]cpInbm temIw XIcpsa¶v AhÀ ]dbp¶p. F¶m P\w Ipdª Atacn¡ F´psImWvSmWv C¶v hfÀ¨ {]m]n¡m¯Xv? P\kwJy AXn`b¦cambn IpdªpsImWvSncn¡p¶ djy³ {]knUâv ]pSn³ F´psImWvSmWv IgnªhÀjw "KÀ`[mcW Imws]bv³' hnhmlnXÀ¡mbn {]Jym]n¨Xv. 2007 sk]vXw_À 12 ap³ \nÝnX Imebfhn P\n¡p¶ Ipªp§Ä¡v ImÀ, {^nUvPv XpS§nb hne]nSn¸pÅ k½m\§Ä At±lw hmKvZm\w sNbvXp. djybnse P\\\nc¡v 1.3 BWv. AXv 2.2 \pta B¡nbnsæn B cmPyw XIcpw F¶v a\knem¡nbncn¡p¶ djy³ {]knUWvSmWv Cu hmKvZm\w \ÂInbXv. 2.2 sâ Xmsg P\\\nc¡v h¶ncn¡p¶ 76 cmPy§Ä C¶v \ne\n¸nsâ `ojWnsb t\cn«psImWvSncn¡pIbmWv. PÀ½\n, Cäen, Bkv{Snb, djy, kvs]bn³, P¸m³, t]mÀ¨pKÂ, kznävkÀeWvSv, t]mfWvSv, lwKdn, {^m³kv, Im\Um, bp.sI. kzoU³, Bkvt{Senb, Iyq_, knwK¸qÀ, bp.Fkv.F, \yqkneWvSv, ssN\ ChscÃmw Cu `ojWnsb t\cnSp¶p.
TFR (Total Fertility Rate) temI¯mIam\ IW¡n 2000 ¯n 2.80 Bbncp¶p. 2008  AXv 2.58 Bbn Ipdbpsa¶v IW¡v kqNn¸n¡p¶p.
Nne {][m\ cmPy§fpsS TFR {i²n¡pI
2000 2008
C³Uy 3.11 2.76
Atacn¡ 2.06 2.10
ssN\ 1.22
PÀ½\n 1.38 1.41
djy 1.25 1.40
Cäen 1.18 1.30
2.2 sâ Xmsg P\\\nc¡v h¶ncn¡p¶ cmPy§Ä 76 DWvSv. Atacn¡ apXemb Nne cmPy§fn P\\\nc¡v hÀ²n¡p¶Xv C´y¡mcS¡w AhntS¡v IpSntbdp¶Xn\memWv.
C¶v temI¯nemIam\w P\\ \nc¡v IpdªXpt]mse acW \nc¡pw IpdªpsImWvSncn¡p¶p. Ip«nIfnÃmsX hr²À hÀ²n¡p¶p. an¡hnIknX cmPy§fnepw hr²cpsS F®w 2050 BIp¶tXmsS {IamXoXambn hÀ²n¡pw F¶pw Cu dnt¸mÀ«n ]dbp¶p. Ahscbpw Iq«nbmWv 200  P\kwJy hÀ²n¨p \n¡p¶sX¶ Imcyw ad¡cpXv. hr²cpsS Imew Ignbpt¼mÄ P\kwJybn henb hogvNbpWvSmIpw F¶Xn XÀ¡anÃsÃm.
ssN\bpw C´ybpw C¶v h³ hfÀ¨m\nc¡v t\SnbXnsâ ]n¶nse clkyw AdnhpÅXmWtÃm. Gähpw henb iànbmb a\pjyiàn Cu cmPy§fn [mcmfapÅXn\memWv AhÀ hfÀ¶psImWvSncn¡p¶Xv. F¶m ssN\bn Hcp Ipªv am{Xta ]mSpÅp F¶ \nbaw h¶ncp¶Xn\m C¶v ssN\bnse P\\\nc¡v 1.22  F¯nbncn¡pIbmWv. IpSpw_§fn Hcp Ipªv am{Xamb kmlNcy¯n AhnSs¯ P\kwJy `oIcambn ASp¯ `mhnbn XIcm³ XpS§pw. H¶mw Øm\¯mbncn¡p¶ AhcpsS ]X\w Bcw`n¨p IgnªXn\memWv 2þmw Øm\¡mcmb C´y H¶mw Øm\¯v F¯m\nSbpÅXv. AXv C´ybnse P\kwJybn hcp¶ henb hÀ²\hn\meÃ.
Ignª Xeapdbn \½psS IpSpw_§fn 5 Dw 6 Dw a¡Ä DWvSmbncp¶Xn\memWv P\kwJym hÀ²\hv C¶v ImWn¡p¶Xv. F¶m sslµhcpsSbpw ss{IkvXhcpsSbpw CSbn h¶ncn¡p¶ P\\ \nc¡nse Ipdhv \nan¯w 2031þmw BWvSp apX tIcf¯nse P\kwJy Ipdbm³ XpS§psa¶v ]T\dnt¸mÀ«v ]e ]{XamknIIfnepw ImWm³ km[n¨p. XpSÀ¶v BZy 10 hÀjw 2 % hpw ASp¯ 10 hÀjw 6 % Ipdhv ImWn¡psa¶v Kh¬saâv ]T\§fn Xs¶ ]dbp¶p. 2000 Unkw 4 amXr`qan ]{X¯n AXnsâ tS_nÄ IrXyambn \ÂInbn«pWvSv. P\kwJy Ipdbm³ XpS§nbm AXnsâ Ipdhv hfsc s]s«¶mbncn¡pw. sXämb Nn´mKXnIÄ cq]s¸Sp¯p¶ C¯cw hmÀ¯IÄ hfsc {i²m]qÀÆw hmbn¡phm³ {i²n¡pI. km¼¯nI hnZKv[scÃmw P\kwJy km¼¯nI t\«¯n\pÅ AhkcambnImWWsa¶v ]dbp¶p. km¼¯nI hnZKv[\mb C´y³ {][m\a{´n {io. a³taml³knwKv "P\kwJy _m[yXbÃ, BkvXnbmbn Nn´n¡m³ ]dbp¶p. asämcp hnZKv[\mb taml³ Kpcpkzman "P\s¸cp¸w C´ybpsS im]w' F¶ \nKa\w ImelcWs¸s«¶pw P\kwJysb t\«am¡n amäm\pÅ AhkcamWv ssIh¶ncn¡p¶sX¶pw A`n{]mbs¸«p.